The Crystal Ball - June 12, 2018 by Imad Abdullah PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Imad Abdullah   
Wednesday, 13 June 2018 17:09

 

 

The Crystal Ball is a periodic greeting, whimsical and satirical, with featherweight and some weight, reflections and projections on the past, present, and the future.

Our world is a fascinating place, offering us the gift of time together with all the feelings and senses we have, our mind, family and friends, and the mundane such as Presidential Elections, Sports, Hurricanes, and Grand stock market Meltdowns. Casino life and the Las Vegas fame are no match for the wonder and excitement of the New York startling money game.

On the wondrous side, The Crystal Ball attempted in the past to place a perspective on our Universe, where some scientists estimate that there might be 125 billion galaxies. As light travels 6 trillion of our land miles per year, they pegged the Universe at approximately 14 Billion Light Years across, some 84,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 miles give or take, and still expanding in search of its ultimate fate.

Backtracking on the time line, we can’t seem to be too sure about the exact time of the famed Big Bang, possibly in the vicinity of 10 to 15 billion years ago. In creating matter, scientists have “Temperature” all figured out: about the first 10 to the -43 fraction of that Big Bang second (10 + 43 zeroes), the Temperature was 100 million trillion degrees, and Gravity was born. In the next few fractions of that second, and as the Fahrenheit was dropping to one billion billionth degree, matter emerged in the form of electrons and quarks and the electromagnetic force appeared. By the time we’re down to the one Trillion degrees, protons and photons came spinning, and a minute later at the one billion degrees, Helium, Lithium and Hydrogen.

Following our ancestors through time, Earth assembled itself around 5 billion years ago, bio-life near 3.4 billion years, and about 700 million years multi-cellular plants and animals came about. Our humanoid ancestor appeared 15 million years hence, and we’ve finally arrived to Homo sapiens the last 100,000 years, a very recent past tense. A century and a half ago life expectancy was 37 years, as Evolution was not concerned with our longevity but only in re-production to maintain our species, as grandparents past 37 would then compete with their siblings for food supplies. Our physical make-up was not of concern to evolution and perfection thereafter evaded us, let alone being granted a biological warranty. In perspective, an economic recession may be good for our health as it creates stress, which may force evolution to continue our mutative advancement to a better physical specimen.

Explaining The Big Bang evaded scientists so far, and through the ages just about every one dead or alive has grappled with this question at some time to no avail, Until Now….

Last Updated on Sunday, 17 June 2018 16:31
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Montée de l’Asie et Eclatement ou recomposition du monde arabe - Ma lecture de La açabiyya d'Ibn Khaldoun par Amin ELSALEH PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Amin ELSALEH   
Friday, 09 March 2018 16:55

 

Préambule

Je viens de mettre à jour ma lecture du concept du "Açabiyya (عصبيه) or "cohesive force" d'après les deux articles de références de Adib Gabriel Hathout et les commentaires du regretté d'Aek Abid. Ce qui m'a éclairé c'est cette phrase de Aek Abid "je voulais partager et construire cette "intelligence collective" à travers cette petite réflexion sur Saul Alinsky Le changement : comment procéder ? et comment peut-il contribuer à la montée de l’Asie ?

INTRODUCTION

Le 10 janvier 1401 a lieu le premier face-à-face entre Tamerlan et Ibn Khaldoun. Aux portes de Damas où campent ses troupes, le Sultan des Mongols et des Tatars est semi allongé et appuyé sur son coude. Tamerlan tend sa main à baiser par l’illustre invité, et le savant de le faire avec une modestie non feinte. Mieux encore, dès cette première rencontre avec le maître des lieux, l’admiration est de mise : « Que Dieu t’assiste Sire, cela fait aujourd’hui trente ou quarante ans que j’espérais te rencontrer »/


Pourquoi l’article suivant attire l'attention d'un large public en Europe et ailleurs :

https://www.academia.edu/…/Ibn_Khaldoun_et_Tamerlan_Enseign…

Deux Extraits

1. " Remplacer la confrontation par le dialogue a été le choix d’Ibn Khaldoun quand, aux portes de Damas, en 1401, il allait jusqu’à faire l’éloge de Tamerlan. Dans un grand instant de l’histoire de la pensée, Ibn Khaldoun illustrait comment le dialogue avec un envahisseur sanguinaire ne signifie pas une souscription à la cruauté de ses crimes. La stratégie d’Ibn Khaldoun est, au contraire, susceptible d’amener le dictateur à raisonner ; ce qui limite les dégâts qu’il pourrait faire.

2. Commentaire de Aek Abid : Je voulais partager et construire cette "intelligence collective" à travers cette petite réflexion sur Saul Alinsky (Ecole de Chicago et facilitateur de "Community Organizing (organisateurs de communauté - on dirait plutôt à l'heure d'internet organisateur de réseaux) :

Le changement : comment procéder ?

Last Updated on Tuesday, 20 March 2018 10:29
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Israel, Hizbollah and Iran: Preventing another war in Syria PDF Print E-mail
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Written by International Crisis Group   
Sunday, 11 February 2018 17:44

https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/eastern-mediterranean/syria/182-israel-hizbollah-and-iran-preventing-another-war-syria

 


https://d2071andvip0wj.cloudfront.net/bg_colored_1x1.png

What’s new? A new phase in Syria’s war augurs escalation with Israel. As the Assad regime gains the upper hand, Hizbollah probes the south west and Iran seeks to augment its partners’ military capacities, Israel has grown fearful that Syria is becoming an Iranian base.

Why does it matter? “Rules of the game” that contained Israeli-Hizbollah clashes for over a decade have eroded. New rules can be established in Syria by mutual agreement or by a deadly cycle of attack and response in which everyone will lose. A broader war could be one miscalculation away.

What should be done? Russia should broker understandings that bolster the de-escalation agreement distancing Iran-backed forces from Syria’s armistice line with Israel; halt Iran’s construction of precision missile facilities and its military infrastructure in Syria; and convince Israel to acquiesce in foreign forces remaining in the rest of Syria pending a deal on the country’s future.

Executive Summary

Last Updated on Tuesday, 27 February 2018 11:08
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Pourquoi le Maghreb soutient Bachar Al-Assad par Akram Belkaïd PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Akram Belkaïd   
Tuesday, 05 April 2016 16:43

 Réuni sous le « haut patronage » du président Béji Caïd Essebsi, le Conseil des ministres arabes de l’intérieur adopte un texte qui condamne les « pratiques et actes terroristes » du Hezbollah, accusé de vouloir« déstabiliser certains pays arabes ». Cette mise en cause frontale résulte d’une intense pression des représentants des six monarchies du Conseil de coopération du Golfe (CCG), qui avaient déjà adopté un texte dans ce sens le même jour. Ils entendent dénoncer le soutien militaire du parti libanais au régime de M. Bachar Al-Assad et l’isoler sur le plan diplomatique.

Last Updated on Sunday, 10 April 2016 09:55
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Exclusion of Arab parliamentarians from the Knesset by OMRI BOEHM PDF Print E-mail
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Written by OMRI BOEHM   
Friday, 01 April 2016 11:43

L'article a était écrit en anglais pour le journal hebdomadaire allemand Die Zeit. L'article fut publié et traduit en allemand par Michael Adrian, dans Die Zeit N° 14 du 23 mars 2016, page 42. NDLR

In Jerusalem's Knesset are also some Arab MPs. Supposedly, they deny "Israel's existence as a Jewish state". Now the government wants to take action against them. Written by OMRI BOEHM

The Israeli government intends these days a law to bring through parliament, with which it would be possible to exclude Arab parliamentarians from the Knesset. No major media coverage took place in the Western media. Apparently it might be acceptable that a government threatened or hit by terrorists accesses unconventional means to protect the country...Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas announced in September at the UN General Assembly, the Palestinians "felt no longer 'on the Oslo agreement" tied ". Abbas' statement proves in retrospect to be significant. "In times of universal deceit," to George Orwell once said, "is the utterance of truth calls for revolutionary action": Although everyone for years know that the Oslo process is dead...

It was no accident that the violence in the region less than a week after Abbas' wake-up call reached an extent where many thought it to a third Intifada.. In this context, US Secretary of State Kerry warned that the two-state solution will be virtually obsolete - he even spoke of "apartheid". A few weeks ago, the influential New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman stated then flush, "end of the show" ... you all have buried the two-state solution.... "A year ago, such a statement would have been unthinkable. Abbas' rejection of Oslo marked a new phase in the Arab-Israeli conflict, the moment at which the discussion of the two-state illusions began to shift to a One-State politic.

Last Updated on Tuesday, 05 April 2016 16:17
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